Monday, September 28, 2009
To much boom boom for Iran
Iran having nuclear weapons is something Americans, Israelis; the global community doesn’t want to come to pass. Yet, despite all this political animosity Iran is doggedly purposing obtaining nuclear capabilities.
Playing devil's advocate, it is hard to ignore some of the double standards that nuclear powers like the U.S., Russia, and China are conveniently forgetting.
When America and later Russia were developing both were in times of turmoil and war. (Israel didn't have to go through U.N. sanctions)
All U.N. nuclear powers claim only to us their nuclear weapons as a prevailent against aggression. (possibly a reason for Iran)
The U.S. and Russia both have had several nuclear power mishaps. (making them far from the ideal experts)
Whether these facts don't substantiate reason for Iran developing nuclear capabilities it does make it kind of hard for a country to be forced into abiding by rules not followed by the arbitors.
Clearly change in diplomacy might be in order. Instead of taking the “I know what is best for you” approach and coming off as the unwarranted elder sibling the United States and the U.N. need to realize that they might not be able to halt this march.
For a moment, pretend that no matter what the U.N. does Iran develops a nuclear arsenal. Sen. Graham drops the “Armageddon” word along with ideals of a nuclear armed terrorist group backed by a corrupt Iranian regime. Evidently, it isn’t something desired, but still imagine if all the U.N. threat letters are left unread and all the meetings are left unattended. If you can’t, simply replace Iran with North Korea.
Like today's Iran, North Korea wasn’t going to be bullied by U.N. Diplomats. Many of whom might have come across as international school yard bullies ordering a sovereign nation to cease its nuclear programs. Despite the demands that became threats that then became sanctions Korea launched it missiles and more importantly it developed while not new but stronger hatred towards America and the U.N. It was overly obvious then that someone miscalculated the North Korean resolve.
Failed Big Stick diplomacy might be repeating itself in Iran's case. In the video, Clinton mentions “stronger sanctions” against the Iran government. This is a terrible misrepresentation of what exactly sanctions encompasses. Stronger sanctions don’t mean that Iranian party leaders give up a twenty year project, for the first few months it simply means settling for a cheaper Chateau d'Yquem with dinner. One has to remember that Iran is sitting on a very large stockpile of natural valuable resources. Sanctions wouldn't be cutting off only export oil and gas it would be cutting off the economical life line of the country, and as with Korea the people who will feel the clench fastest and longest or those who can ill afford it. Trying to force a change in government policy or even an overthrow of the government through depravation and starvation of its citizens is torture, worst of all it is the kind of torture that leads to a fanatical enemy.
It hasn't worked with North Korea and it isn't working with Iran. Furthermore, Clinton stated that "there is nothing they can really say to make the U.N. believe them... they must allow complete transparency of their program." This ultimatum will not frighten a nation into revealing what it has manage to keep underwraps for the past twenty years especially when Sen. Graham predicts Iran to be a mere eighteen months away from having nuclear weapons.
It is time to change diplomatic policy with Iran. Sanctioning the 2cd largest oil and gas reserve nation isn't going to do anyone any good. Personnally, I would rather have them in the U.N. table with nuclear weapons then in isolation glaring at the United States and her allies with their hands on a button.
Jeff
Morton
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